Prediction Model of Passenger Disturbance Behavior in Flight Delay in Terminal

Yunyan Gu, Jianhua Yang, Conghui Wang, Guo Xie, Bingqing Cai

科研成果: 期刊稿件会议文章同行评审

摘要

Flight delays disposal is always a tricky problem in civil aviation. The prediction model of passenger disturbance is of great significance to improve civil aviation service level and spot management capability in flight delays. Taking Shenzhen airport as an example, the 2016-2017 flight delay data is analyzed. Based on the BP neural network algorithm, a prediction model is set up by using influence factors which include depth of delay, scheduled flight departure date, current moment, passenger density of gates and ground service company. According to this mode, weight of influence factors is calculated by training neural network. The Prediction Model of passenger disturbance in flight delay is established. The results show that the model prediction accuracy is over 90%, when the number of learning times is 50000. The prediction model is effective, by which the civil aviation staff can make more accurate decisions in large-scale flight delays in civil aviation.

源语言英语
文章编号052044
期刊IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
242
5
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 1 4月 2019
活动2018 4th International Conference on Energy Equipment Science and Engineering, ICEESE 2018 - Xi'an, 中国
期限: 28 12月 201830 12月 2018

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