TY - GEN
T1 - Forecasting the rise and fall of volatile point-of-interests
AU - Lu, Xinjiang
AU - Yu, Zhiwen
AU - Liu, Chuanren
AU - Liu, Yanchi
AU - Xiong, Hui
AU - Guo, Bin
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 IEEE.
PY - 2017/7/1
Y1 - 2017/7/1
N2 - Volatile Point-of-Interests (vPOIs) refer to those small businesses which appear and disappear quickly in cities. How to maintain and incubate small business in the urban area is a big concern for both business owners and government administrators. Therefore, the prediction task for the rise and fall of vPOIs is valuable for both shopkeepers and administrators by supporting a variety of applications in urban economics. In this paper, we propose a framework, named FRFP, to predict the prosperity of vPOIs over time. Specifically, due to the data sparsity and skewness of the individual vPOIs, we first aggregate vPOIs prosperities at focal areas w.r.t. each vPOI category. Then we develop the dynamic-continuous CRF (DC-CRF) model to integrate the association between input and output as well as the correlations between outputs from temporal, spatial and contextual perspectives. Finally, we conduct empirical experiments on real-world data from Google Maps and NYC OpenData. The evaluation results demonstrate that our proposed approach outperforms baseline algorithms with considerable margins. In addition, we explore the predictability of different explanatory variables and provide actionable insights for both shopkeepers and urban planners.
AB - Volatile Point-of-Interests (vPOIs) refer to those small businesses which appear and disappear quickly in cities. How to maintain and incubate small business in the urban area is a big concern for both business owners and government administrators. Therefore, the prediction task for the rise and fall of vPOIs is valuable for both shopkeepers and administrators by supporting a variety of applications in urban economics. In this paper, we propose a framework, named FRFP, to predict the prosperity of vPOIs over time. Specifically, due to the data sparsity and skewness of the individual vPOIs, we first aggregate vPOIs prosperities at focal areas w.r.t. each vPOI category. Then we develop the dynamic-continuous CRF (DC-CRF) model to integrate the association between input and output as well as the correlations between outputs from temporal, spatial and contextual perspectives. Finally, we conduct empirical experiments on real-world data from Google Maps and NYC OpenData. The evaluation results demonstrate that our proposed approach outperforms baseline algorithms with considerable margins. In addition, we explore the predictability of different explanatory variables and provide actionable insights for both shopkeepers and urban planners.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85047868680&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/BigData.2017.8258060
DO - 10.1109/BigData.2017.8258060
M3 - 会议稿件
AN - SCOPUS:85047868680
T3 - Proceedings - 2017 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Big Data 2017
SP - 1307
EP - 1312
BT - Proceedings - 2017 IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Big Data 2017
A2 - Nie, Jian-Yun
A2 - Obradovic, Zoran
A2 - Suzumura, Toyotaro
A2 - Ghosh, Rumi
A2 - Nambiar, Raghunath
A2 - Wang, Chonggang
A2 - Zang, Hui
A2 - Baeza-Yates, Ricardo
A2 - Baeza-Yates, Ricardo
A2 - Hu, Xiaohua
A2 - Kepner, Jeremy
A2 - Cuzzocrea, Alfredo
A2 - Tang, Jian
A2 - Toyoda, Masashi
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
T2 - 5th IEEE International Conference on Big Data, Big Data 2017
Y2 - 11 December 2017 through 14 December 2017
ER -