TY - JOUR
T1 - Weapon system operational effectiveness evaluation based on the belief rule-based system with interval data
AU - Gao, Fei
AU - Zhang, An
AU - Bi, Wenhao
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 - IOS Press and the authors. All rights reserved.
PY - 2020
Y1 - 2020
N2 - Weapon system operational effectiveness evaluation is of significant importance to weapon system development, and it can be viewed as a multiple criteria decision-making problem with qualitative information, precise data, interval data, and even missing information. Furthermore, due to the complexity of weapon systems and military operations, using prior knowledge such as experiment data, simulation data, and experts' knowledge could enhance the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation result. To this end, by introducing interval-valued evidential reasoning (ER) approach into belief rule-based system (BRBS), this paper proposed an interval-valued BRB inference method for weapon system operational effectiveness evaluation Firstly, the operational effectiveness evaluation hierarchy is established based on the analysis of the weapon system. Then, the belief rule base (BRB) is constructed to capture prior knowledge of the weapon system. Next, different kinds of information are transformed into belief distribution, and the proposed interval-valued BRB inference method is applied to relay the input to the BRB and obtain the evaluation result. Finally, three numerical examples of missile system operational effectiveness evaluation with interval data, precise data, and missing information are conducted to illustrate the process of the proposed method and demonstrate its feasibility.
AB - Weapon system operational effectiveness evaluation is of significant importance to weapon system development, and it can be viewed as a multiple criteria decision-making problem with qualitative information, precise data, interval data, and even missing information. Furthermore, due to the complexity of weapon systems and military operations, using prior knowledge such as experiment data, simulation data, and experts' knowledge could enhance the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation result. To this end, by introducing interval-valued evidential reasoning (ER) approach into belief rule-based system (BRBS), this paper proposed an interval-valued BRB inference method for weapon system operational effectiveness evaluation Firstly, the operational effectiveness evaluation hierarchy is established based on the analysis of the weapon system. Then, the belief rule base (BRB) is constructed to capture prior knowledge of the weapon system. Next, different kinds of information are transformed into belief distribution, and the proposed interval-valued BRB inference method is applied to relay the input to the BRB and obtain the evaluation result. Finally, three numerical examples of missile system operational effectiveness evaluation with interval data, precise data, and missing information are conducted to illustrate the process of the proposed method and demonstrate its feasibility.
KW - belief rule-based system
KW - evidential reasoning approach
KW - interval data
KW - operational effectiveness evaluation
KW - Weapon system
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85096961351&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.3233/JIFS-190651
DO - 10.3233/JIFS-190651
M3 - 文章
AN - SCOPUS:85096961351
SN - 1064-1246
VL - 39
SP - 6687
EP - 6701
JO - Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems
JF - Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems
IS - 5
ER -