The forecast of economic life for torpedo based on historical cost

Qing Wei Liang, Bao Wei Song, Yue Jia

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

The economic life of torpedo is determined by the year when the average annual cost is the lowest. The average annual cost relates to the purchasing cost and the use-maintenance cost. A GM(1,1) model of the grey system theory was modified by using the experience of exponential use-maintenance cost. The original data were used as accumulated sequence to set up the use-maintenance cost model that can be used to forecast the torpedo economic life. A Kalman sequential algorithm was adopted to weaken the randomness of the data sequence. Forecast results show that this method is satisfactory.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)865-868
Number of pages4
JournalBinggong Xuebao/Acta Armamentarii
Volume27
Issue number5
StatePublished - Sep 2006

Keywords

  • Average cost per annum
  • Economic life
  • Grey model
  • Systematic evaluation and feasibility analysis
  • Torpedo
  • Use-maintenance cost

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