CrowdPop: Leveraging multi-source crowd-contributed data for app evolutionary pattern analysis and popularity prediction

Yixuan Zhang, Bin Guo, Yi Ouyang, Tong Guo, Zhu Wang, Zhiwen Yu

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

The popularity prediction of mobile apps provides substantial value to a broad range of applications, ranging from app development to targeted advertising. However, most previous studies do this work by establishing regression models for impact factors, or using clustering and classification algorithms. It does not fully investigate the process of popularity evolution and the reasons behind it. In this paper, we discuss and analyze the potential predictors, especially the impact of early evolutionary patterns on future popularity. To this end, we first explore six basic evolutionary patterns and six impact factors that are closely related to app popularity. After detailed analysis, we present CrowdPop, a popularity prediction model based on the Random Forest algorithm, to quantify patterns and factors as predictors of CrowdPop. The experiment results with a real-world dataset of 126 apps indicate that, compared with baseline methods, our CrowdPop performs better in mobile app popularity prediction.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 10th Asia-Pacific Symposium on Internetware, Internetware 2018
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery
ISBN (Electronic)9781450365901
DOIs
StatePublished - 16 Sep 2018
Event10th Asia-Pacific Symposium on Internetware, Internetware 2018 - Beijing, China
Duration: 16 Sep 201816 Sep 2018

Publication series

NameACM International Conference Proceeding Series

Conference

Conference10th Asia-Pacific Symposium on Internetware, Internetware 2018
Country/TerritoryChina
CityBeijing
Period16/09/1816/09/18

Keywords

  • App evolutionary pattern mining
  • App popularity prediction
  • Crowd-contributed data
  • Mobile app analysis

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