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Short term forecast of the evaporation duct for the West Pacific Ocean

  • Northwestern Polytechnical University Xian

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

3 引用 (Scopus)

摘要

Evaporation duct, as an important component of atmosphere duct, has a strong impact on near-surface radar propagation. Short term forecast of evaporation duct is significant to the application of ship borne radar and communication systems. This paper presented a short term forecast method of evaporation duct height (EDH) based on Global Forecast System (GFS) products and the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) evaporation duct model. West Pacific Ocean was chosen as the area of study and National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) FNL reanalysis data were used to test the forecast accuracy. The results showed that the EDH average forecast error was below 2m within 24 hour in most parts of West Pacific Ocean and increased during the period studied. The EDH forecast accuracy was high within 24 hour and decreased as time passed. The proposed method worked well in short term forecast of evaporation duct for the West Pacific Ocean.

源语言英语
主期刊名OCEANS 2013 MTS/IEEE - San Diego
主期刊副标题An Ocean in Common
出版商IEEE Computer Society
ISBN(印刷版)9780933957404
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 2013
活动2013 MTS/IEEE San Diego Conference: An Ocean in Common, OCEANS 2013 - San Diego, CA, 美国
期限: 23 9月 201326 9月 2013

丛书

姓名OCEANS 2013 MTS/IEEE - San Diego: An Ocean in Common

会议

会议2013 MTS/IEEE San Diego Conference: An Ocean in Common, OCEANS 2013
国家/地区美国
San Diego, CA
时期23/09/1326/09/13

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