Bayes reliability evaluation method based on compertz growth model for torpedo system

The Bayes theorem is adopted as an important and suitable approach to the reliability analysis and evaluation for torpedo system, because of its complexity and small sample tests. The reliability growth Bayes method for the Compertz model was proposed, which can obtain the prior distribution based on the test information of reliability growth. Then combining with the small sample experiment data, the reliability evaluation can be calculated by Bayes method. The simulation example shows that the method proposed is effective, and better than classical evaluation method.