ProTICS reveals prognostic impact of tumor infiltrating immune cells in different molecular subtypes

Different subtypes of the same cancer often show distinct genomic signatures and require targeted treatments. The differences at the cellular and molecular levels of tumor microenvironment in different cancer subtypes have significant effects on tumor pathogenesis and prognostic outcomes. Although there have been significant researches on the prognostic association of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes in selected histological subtypes, few investigations have systemically reported the prognostic impacts of immune cells in molecular subtypes, as quantified by machine learning approaches on multi-omics datasets. This paper describes a new computational framework, ProTICS, to quantify the differences in the proportion of immune cells in tumor microenvironment and estimate their prognostic effects in different subtypes. First, we stratified patients into molecular subtypes based on gene expression and methylation profiles by applying nonnegative tensor factorization technique. Then we quantified the proportion of cell types in each specimen using an mRNA-based deconvolution method. For tumors in each subtype, we estimated the prognostic effects of immune cell types by applying Cox proportional hazard regression. At the molecular level, we also predicted the prognosis of signature genes for each subtype. Finally, we benchmarked the performance of ProTICS on three TCGA datasets and another independent METABRIC dataset. ProTICS successfully stratified tumors into different molecular subtypes manifested by distinct overall survival. Furthermore, the different immune cell types showed distinct prognostic patterns with respect to molecular subtypes. This study provides new insights into the prognostic association between immune cells and molecular subtypes, showing the utility of immune cells as potential prognostic markers. Availability: R code is available at https://github.com/liu-shuhui/ProTICS