Optimal control of pattern formations for an SIR reaction–diffusion epidemic model

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Abstract

Patterns arising from the reaction–diffusion epidemic model provide insightful aspects into the transmission of infectious diseases. For a classic SIR reaction–diffusion epidemic model, we review its Turing pattern formations with different transmission rates. A quantitative indicator, “normal serious prevalent area (NSPA)”, is introduced to characterize the relationship between patterns and the extent of the epidemic. The extent of epidemic is positively correlated to NSPA. To effectively reduce NSPA of patterns under the large transmission rates, taken removed (recovery or isolation) rate as a control parameter, we consider the mathematical formulation and numerical solution of an optimal control problem for the SIR reaction–diffusion model. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in terms of control effect, control precision and control cost.

Original languageEnglish
Article number111003
JournalJournal of Theoretical Biology
Volume536
DOIs
StatePublished - 7 Mar 2022

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Epidemic model
  • Optimal control
  • Reaction–diffusion
  • Turing pattern

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