TY - JOUR
T1 - Multiple tipping phenomena in a system with a time-dependent parameter excited by coloured noise
AU - Zhang, Xiaoyu
AU - Liu, Qi
AU - Nakao, Hiroya
AU - Xu, Yong
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Elsevier Ltd
PY - 2025/10
Y1 - 2025/10
N2 - Tipping can describe various dynamical transitions in real-world systems, such as thermoacoustic instability. However, previous studies have focused on systems with monocritical transitions that switch between only two stable states. In this study, as an example of multistable complex systems, we analyse multiple tipping in a system with a time-dependent parameter and three stable limit cycles under coloured noise excitation. By stochastically averaging the system and performing numerical simulations, multiple tipping-delay phenomena are identified, with the first tipping exhibiting a larger delay. Joint influences of the rate of parameter change and the noise parameters on the tipping behaviours are also discussed. It is revealed that both high rate of change and high noise intensity can turn multiple tipping into single tipping, where the former causes skipping of an intermediate amplitude state and results in direct jumps from a low-amplitude state to a high-amplitude state, while the latter changes the tipping from abrupt to smooth. These findings provide a new perspective for understanding tipping phenomena in multistable systems.
AB - Tipping can describe various dynamical transitions in real-world systems, such as thermoacoustic instability. However, previous studies have focused on systems with monocritical transitions that switch between only two stable states. In this study, as an example of multistable complex systems, we analyse multiple tipping in a system with a time-dependent parameter and three stable limit cycles under coloured noise excitation. By stochastically averaging the system and performing numerical simulations, multiple tipping-delay phenomena are identified, with the first tipping exhibiting a larger delay. Joint influences of the rate of parameter change and the noise parameters on the tipping behaviours are also discussed. It is revealed that both high rate of change and high noise intensity can turn multiple tipping into single tipping, where the former causes skipping of an intermediate amplitude state and results in direct jumps from a low-amplitude state to a high-amplitude state, while the latter changes the tipping from abrupt to smooth. These findings provide a new perspective for understanding tipping phenomena in multistable systems.
KW - Coloured noise
KW - Multiple tipping
KW - System with a time-dependent parameter
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105011034644
U2 - 10.1016/j.chaos.2025.116853
DO - 10.1016/j.chaos.2025.116853
M3 - 文章
AN - SCOPUS:105011034644
SN - 0960-0779
VL - 199
JO - Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
JF - Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
M1 - 116853
ER -