Boardwatch: A tree-enhanced regression model for billboard popularity prediction with multi-source urban data

Yao Jing, Bin Guo, Yan Liu, Daqing Zhang, Zhiwen Yu

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Predicting the popularity of outdoor billboards is crucial for many applications such as guidance of billboard placement and estimation of advertising cost. Recently, some researchers have worked on leveraging single traffic data to access the performance of billboards, which often leads to coarse-grained performance estimation and undesirable ad placement plans. To solve the problem, we propose a data-driven system, named BoradWatch, for fine-grained billboard popularity prediction. In particular, we extract three types of critical features based on multi-source urban data, including billboard profile, geographic feature and commercial feature. Furthermore, we propose a hybrid model named Tree-Enhanced Regression Model (TERM) based on extracted features for prediction, which takes full advantage of the feature transformation of decision trees model to enhance the prediction performance of the linear model. Experiment results on real-world outdoor billboard data and multi-source urban data demonstrate the effectiveness of our work.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationUbiComp/ISWC 2019- - Adjunct Proceedings of the 2019 ACM International Joint Conference on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing and Proceedings of the 2019 ACM International Symposium on Wearable Computers
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery, Inc
Pages93-96
Number of pages4
ISBN (Electronic)9781450368698
DOIs
StatePublished - 9 Sep 2019
Event2019 ACM International Joint Conference on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing and 2019 ACM International Symposium on Wearable Computers, UbiComp/ISWC 2019 - London, United Kingdom
Duration: 9 Sep 201913 Sep 2019

Publication series

NameUbiComp/ISWC 2019- - Adjunct Proceedings of the 2019 ACM International Joint Conference on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing and Proceedings of the 2019 ACM International Symposium on Wearable Computers

Conference

Conference2019 ACM International Joint Conference on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing and 2019 ACM International Symposium on Wearable Computers, UbiComp/ISWC 2019
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityLondon
Period9/09/1913/09/19

Keywords

  • Billboard
  • Cross-space data
  • Decision trees
  • Popularity prediction

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