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A multi-fidelity tabular prior-data fitted network model for accurate prediction and uncertainty quantification

  • Yan Shi
  • , Cheng Liu
  • , Aodi Yu
  • , Zhenzhou Lu
  • , Said Elias
  • , Kai Cheng
  • , Jiaqing Kou
  • , Xin Chen
  • , Yu Liu
  • , Hong Zhong Huang
  • , Michael Beer
  • City University of Hong Kong
  • Civil Aviation Flight University of China
  • Northwestern Polytechnical University Xian
  • Leibniz University Hannover
  • Széchenyi István University
  • Technical University of Munich
  • National Key Laboratory of Aircraft Configuration Design
  • University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
  • University of Liverpool
  • Tongji University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Accurate prediction of unknown labels from feature-label datasets using machine learning is critical for applications spanning drug discovery, disease diagnostics, and climate science. However, challenges persist with limited data, high-dimensional inputs, and multi-fidelity scenarios. We developed multi-fidelity tabular prior-data fitted network (MFTabPFN), a general-purpose multi-fidelity model integrating low- and high-fidelity data through a hierarchical transformer architecture to enhance prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification (UQ). MFTabPFN captures cross-fidelity correlations while seamlessly adapting to single-fidelity data. An active learning framework further enhances scalability by prioritizing high-value data for model refinement, minimizing resource demands in resource-intensive tasks. Evaluated on various tasks such as forest fire burned area prediction, wine quality assessment, and computational fluid dynamics, MFTabPFN outperforms state-of-the-art methods, achieving varying degrees of prediction accuracy improvement. Its versatility and robust prediction and UQ capabilities across single- and multi-fidelity datasets position MFTabPFN as a promising tool for data-driven discovery in diverse applications.

Original languageEnglish
Article number8308
JournalNature Communications
Volume17
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2026

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